Human cognition tends to be near-sighted and compartmentalised. We try to solve the problems in front of us, instead of zooming out to compare the relative importance of all our different problems. Similarly, most of us give specific explanations of historical phenomena, instead of zooming out to overall historical patterns. Our thinking about the future is much the same: we give predictions about specific domains (population trends, climate change, etc.) but do not integrate these different predictions into one overall model.
The need for a world-view
The need for a world-view
The need for a world-view
Human cognition tends to be near-sighted and compartmentalised. We try to solve the problems in front of us, instead of zooming out to compare the relative importance of all our different problems. Similarly, most of us give specific explanations of historical phenomena, instead of zooming out to overall historical patterns. Our thinking about the future is much the same: we give predictions about specific domains (population trends, climate change, etc.) but do not integrate these different predictions into one overall model.